GOP’s Midterm Chances Rise

Republican congressional candidates have jumped to a 10-point lead in a national polling test for November’s midterms, according to a new survey.

From April 19 and April 27, The Federalist and Susquehanna Polling & Analysis conducted a study that indicated if House elections took place today, 49 percent of potential voters would vote Republican and 39 percent for Democrats.

In February, the same survey had the GOP leading by 47 percent to 41 percent.

The Fall

Biden’s popularity rating has fallen from 42% in February to 39%, while his disapproval rating has increased from 52% to 54%.

Fifty-two percent of respondents held a negative view of Biden; 43 percent had a favorable idea of him.

Biden lost the most support from Independents, with 59 percent disapproving of how he ran the country and 63 percent disapproving of how he handled inflation.

According to The Federalist, 70% of respondents supported legislation akin to Florida’s Parental Rights in Education Act.

The Federalist reported “59 percent of Democrats and 69% of self-described progressive liberals support anti-grooming legislation to protect elementary school students from being forcibly subjected to sexual matters by school staff without parents’ permission.”

The publication added that “69 percent of those surveyed said it was unjust to force female players to compete against male players who identify as transgender and allege to be women.”

Early this week, the Harvard Youth Poll, run by the Center of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School, announced its Spring 2022 results, revealing a dramatic 18-point decline in President Biden’s popularity rating among voters aged 18–29 over the previous year.

Biden’s favorable rating among youths was 41 percent, down from 59 percent in the spring of 2021.

“The primary issue is Biden’s flimsy pledges to erase student debt,” Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey said. “It proved to be significantly more difficult to do than it appeared.”

According to a Harvard study, “85 percent of young Americans prefer some type of government intervention on student loan debt, while just 38% want outright debt forgiveness.”

Poor Economy

More positive news for Republicans came from the Harvard poll: “When compared to the Spring 2018 Harvard IOP polls, the electorate composition appears to be different.

Young Democrats (38 percent of 18–29-year-olds) are less likely (-5 points) to vote at this stage, but young Republicans (25 percent of 18–29-year-olds) are more likely (+7).”

According to a CBS News poll conducted in early April, roughly two-thirds of Americans believe the “national economy” is “poor.”

Increased prices have prompted some to declare they are making cuts, particularly on more discretionary things, such as entertainment and vacations.

This, of course, may have a broader influence on the economy in the future. Around half reduced their spending on food and groceries, which is especially true for people with lower incomes.

On the economy and inflation, Biden received his lowest approval ratings. More specifically, on gas costs, the majority believes he could be doing more to bring them down.

Almost all Republicans hold this position. They feel his actions are contributing significantly to the increasing cost of gasoline.